Chancellor's Professor of Demography
Chair of Department of Demography
Chair of Graduate Group in Sociology and Demography
Director of the Berkeley Population Center
2232 Piedmont Avenue
Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
510-642-9800 (dept and for messages)
Faculty Assistant: Dr. Ellen Langer
Josh Goldstein is a Demographer. His research interests include fertility, marriage, social demography, historical demography, population aging, and formal demography. Prof. Goldstein's publications include "How 4.5 Million Irish Immigrants Became 40 Million Irish Americans: Demographic and Subjective Aspects of Ethnic Composition of White Americans," "Marriage Delayed or Marriage Foregone? New Cohort Forecasts of First Marriage for U.S. Women," and "The End of 'Lowest-Low' Fertility?" Goldstein received his M.A. (D.E.A.) in Demography and Social Sciences at the Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales in Paris and his Ph.D in Demography from Berkeley. Before returning to Berkeley's Demography Department in 2013, Goldstein held positions as Professor of Sociology and Public Affairs at Princeton University and Director of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, Germany. Goldstein's recent research includes a new interest in big data and naming patterns, particularly what first naming patterns can reveal about fertility intentions and how the choice of first names influences life chances.
Recent and forthcoming papers include:
- “Bayesian Forecasting of Cohort Fertility,” Carl Schmertmann, Emilio Zagheni, Joshua R. Goldstein, and Mikko Myrskylä, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2014, 109(506), forthcoming.
- “A Cohort Model of Fertility Postponement,” Joshua R. Goldstein and Thomas Cassidy, Demography, forthcoming.
Evidence from Order-Specific Data,” Joshua R. Goldstein, Michaela Kreyenfeld, Aiva Jasilioniene, Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal, Demographic Research, 2013, 29(4):85-104.
- “New Cohort Fertility Forecasts for the Developed World: Rises, Falls, and Reversals,” Mikko Myrskylä, Joshua R. Goldstein, and Yen-hsin Alice Cheng, Population and Development Review, 2013, 39(1):31-56.
- “Probabilistic Forecasting Using Stochastic Diffusion Models, with Applications to Cohort Processes of Marriage and Fertility,” Mikko Myrskylä and Joshua R. Goldstein, Demography, 2013, 50(1): 237-260.
Human Fertility Database:
Berkeley Population Center:
Graduate Group in Demography
Bayesian Forecasting of Cohort Fertility Database (Carl Schmertmann et al.)
Off the court of demography, Goldstein enjoys playing squash and tennis and hiking with his family in the Sierras and the Alps.