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JOHN R. WILMOTH

Curriculum Vitae

(Last updated:  May 19, 2006)

CONTACT INFORMATION

My contact information is given below for both the United Nations and the University of California at Berkeley.  However, please note that I will be based primarily in New York City beginning July 2005 (for a period of at least 2 years).

Address:

Population Division / DESA
United Nations, Rm. DC2-1988
New York, NY 10017

Phone:
Fax*:
Email:

+1 212-963-8398
+1 775-213-2239 or 212-963-2147
wilmoth@un.org

Address:

Department of Demography
University of California, Berkeley
2232 Piedmont Avenue
Berkeley, California 94720-2120

Phone:
Fax*:
Email:
Home page:

+1 510-642-9688 or -9800
+1 775-213-2239 or 510-643-8558
jrw@demog.berkeley.edu
http://demog.berkeley.edu/~jrw

* My preferred fax number is 775-213-2239.  With this number I receive faxes electronically (via email), whether I am in New York, California, or elsewhere.

EDUCATIONAL BACKGROUND

Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, 1984-1988
Ph.D., Statistics and Demography (joint degree), October 1988

Ball State University, Muncie, Indiana, 1979-1984
B.A. (summa cum laude), May 1984 (majors: actuarial science, French; minor: piano)

PROFESSIONAL BACKGROUND

Population Division, United Nations, New York City, 2005-present
Chief, Mortality Section, 2005-present

Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley, 1989-present
Associate Professor, 1996-present (in absentia 2005-present)
Graduate Advisor, 1991-1992, 1993-2003 (except 1.5 years sabbatical leave)
Assistant Professor, 1989-1996 (in absentia 1989-1990)

Population Studies Center, Department of Sociology, University of Michigan
Andrew W. Mellon Postdoctoral Fellow, 1988-1990

SELECTED PROFESSIONAL ACTIVITIES

Human Mortality Database (formerly the Berkeley Mortality Database), http://www.mortality.org
Director, 1997-present

Institut national d’études démographiques (INED), Paris
Visiting Scholar, January-July 2001
Special Committee on “La vocation internationale de l’INED,” Member, 1999-2000

Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods, Social Security Advisory Board, Washington, D.C.
Member, 2003

PROFESSIONAL ASSOCIATIONS

American Association for the Advancement of Science, 1998-present

Gerontological Society of America, 1995-present

International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, 1999-present

Population Association of America, 1986-present

Population Reference Bureau, 1994-present

EDITORIAL BOARDS AND ADVISORY COMMITTEES

Demographic Research, Scientific Review Board, 1999-present

Encyclopedia of Population (Macmillan Reference USA), Editorial Board, 2001-2003

European Journal of Population, Editorial Board, 2001-present

Evaluation Review, Associate Editor, 1996-present

Population, International Committee, 2002-present

CURRENT GRANTS

“Longevity and mortality in industrialized societies.”  Principal investigator, Research Project, National Institute on Aging (RO1 AG11552), 7/1/1999 – 6/30/2009.

PAPERS AND PUBLICATIONS

2006   J.R. Wilmoth and Mike Dennis.  “Social differences in older adult mortality in the United States: Questions, data, methods, and results.”  In: Jean-Marie Robine, Eileen Crimmins, Zeng Yi, and Shiro Horiuchi (eds.), Human Longevity, Individual Life Duration, and the Growth of the Oldest-Old Population, Springer (forthcoming).

2006   Child Mortality Coordination Group.  Tracking progress towards the Millennium Development Goals: Reaching consensus on child mortality levels and trends.”  Bulletin of the World Health Organization 84(3): 225-232 [contributed to the paper as one of 17 members of the Child Mortality Coordination Group].

2006   Shiro Horiuchi, J.R. Wilmoth, and Scott D. Pletcher.  “A Decomposition Method Based on a Model of Continuous Change.”  Submitted for publication February 2006.

2005   J.R. Wilmoth.  On the relationship between period and cohort mortality.”  Demographic Research 13(11): 231-280.

2005   Vladimir Shkolnikov, J.R. Wilmoth, and Dana A. Glei.  Introduction to the Special Collection ‘Human Mortality over Age, Time, Sex, and Place: The 1st HMD Symposium.’  Demographic Research 13(10): 223-230.

2005   J.R. Wilmoth.  Some methodological issues in mortality projection, based on an analysis of the U.S. social security system.”  Genus 61(1): 179-211.  (Also published as a working paper, “Overview and discussion of the Social Security mortality projections,” by the Social Security Advisory Board, Washington, D.C., 2005).

2004   R.N. Butler, H.R. Warner, T.F. Williams, S.N. Austad, J.A. Brody, J. Campisi, A. Cerami, G. Cohen, V.J. Cristofalo, D.A. Drachman, C.E. Finch, I. Fridovich, C.B. Harley, R.J. Havlik, G.M. Martin, R.A. Miller, S.J. Olshansky, O.M. Pereira-Smith, J.R. Smith, R.L. Sprott, M.D. West, J.R. Wilmoth, W.E. Wright.  The aging factor in health and disease: the promise of basic research on aging.”  Aging Clinical and Experimental Research 16(2): 104-11.

2003   Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods.  Report to the Social Security Advisory Board.  Social Security Advisory Board, Washington, D.C. [as one of eight Panel members, took primary responsibility for sections on fertility, migration, and mortality, or pp. 21-41 of this Report].

2003   J.R. Wilmoth and Jean-Marie Robine.  “The world trend in maximum life span.”  In:  James R. Carey and Shripad Tuljapurkar (eds.), Life Span: Evolutionary, Ecological, and Demographic Perspectives, supplement to vol. 29, Population and Development Review, pp. 239-257.

2003   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Mortality decline.”  In: Paul Demeny and Geoffrey McNicoll (eds.), International Encyclopedia of Population, 2nd ed., New York: Macmillan Reference USA, vol. 2, pp. 654-662.

2002   Omer Gersten and J.R. Wilmoth.  The cancer transition in Japan since 1951.”  Demographic Research 7(5): 271-306.

2002   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Human longevity in historical perspective.”  In:  Paola S. Timiras (ed.), Physiological Basis of Aging and Geriatrics, 3rd edition, Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press, pp. 11-24.

2002   Thomas T. Perls, J.R. Wilmoth, Robin Levenson, Maureen Drinkwater, Melissa Cohen, Hazel Bogan, Erin Joyce, Stephanie Brewster, Louis Kunkel, and Annibale Puca.  Life-long sustained mortality advantage of siblings of centenarians.”  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 99(12): 8442-8447.

2001   J.R. Wilmoth.  How long can we live? A review essay.”  Population and Development Review 27(4): 791-800.  [Book review of S. Jay Olshansky and Bruce A. Carnes, The Quest for Immortality: Science at the Frontiers of Aging, New York: W.W. Norton, 2001.]

2001   J.R. Wilmoth and Tapani Valkonen.  A parametric representation of mortality differentials over age and time.”  EAPS seminar, “Trends in differentials in morbidity and mortality: Analysis and explanation,” Pontignano, Italy, April 2001.

2001   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Les modèles âge-période-cohorte en démographie.”  In: Graziella Caselli, Jacques Vallin, and Guillaume Wunsch (eds.), Démographie: Analyse et Synthèse. I. La Dynamique des Populations, Paris:  INED, pp. 379-397.

2001   J.R. Wilmoth and Paola S. Timiras.  “Demographic, comparative, and differential aging.”  In: Ronnie A. Rosenthal, Michael E. Zenilman, and Mark R. Katlic (eds.), Principles and Practice of Geriatric Surgery, New York: Springer-Verlag, pp. 24-37.

2000   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Demography of longevity: Past, present, and future trends.”  Journal of Experimental Gerontology 35(9-10): 1111-1129.

2000   J.R. Wilmoth, Leo J. Deegan, Hans Lundström, and Shiro Horiuchi.  Increase of maximum life-span in Sweden, 1861-1999.”  Science 289: 2366-2368.

1999   J.R. Wilmoth and Shiro Horiuchi.  Rectangularization revisited: Variability of age at death within human populations,” Demography 36(4): 475-495.

1999   Axel Skytthe, Bernard Jeune, and J.R. Wilmoth.  “Age validation of the oldest man.”  In: Bernard Jeune and James W. Vaupel (eds.), Validation of Exceptional Longevity, Odense, Denmark: Odense University Press, pp. 173-188.

1999   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Comment on A. R. Thatcher, ‘The long-term pattern of adult mortality and the highest age attained.’”  Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A 162(1): 40.

1999   J.R. Wilmoth and Shiro Horiuchi.  “Do the oldest old grow old more slowly?”  In: Jean-Marie Robine, Bernard Forette, Claudio Franceschi, and Michel Allard (eds.), The Paradoxes of Longevity, Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag, pp. 35-60.

1998   Shiro Horiuchi and J.R. Wilmoth.  Deceleration in the age pattern of mortality at older ages.”  Demography 35(4): 391-412.

1998   J.R. Wilmoth.  Double book review.  [Henri Leridon and Laurent Toulemon, Démographie: Approche statistique et dynamique des populations, Paris: Economica, 1997; and Jean Bourgeois-Pichat, La dynamique des populations: Population stables, semi-stables, quasi-stables, Paris: Presses Universitaires de France, 1994.]  Population and Development Review 24(4): 860-862.

1998   J.R. Wilmoth.  Is the pace of Japanese mortality decline converging toward international trends?  Population and Development Review 24(3): 593-600.

1998   J.R. Wilmoth.  The future of human longevity: A demographer’s perspective.”  Science 280: 395-397, 1998.  Letters and response, Science 281: 1611-1615.

1998   J.R. Wilmoth.  “American mortality in international perspective: The evolution of relative rankings by age.”  Population Association of America, Annual Meeting, Chicago, April.

1997   J.R. Wilmoth.  Book review.  [Richard Lynn, Dysgenics: Genetic Deterioration in Modern Populations, Westport, CT: Praeger, 1996.]  Population and Development Review 23(3): 663-666.

1997   J.R. Wilmoth.  In search of limits.”  In: Kenneth W. Wachter and Caleb E. Finch (eds.), Between Zeus and the Salmon: The Biodemography of Longevity, Washington, DC: National Academy Press, pp. 38-64.

1997   Shiro Horiuchi and J.R. Wilmoth.  “Age patterns of the life table aging rate for major causes of death in Japan, 1951-1990.” Journal of Gerontology 52A(1): B67-B77.

1996   J.R. Wilmoth, Axel Skytthe, Diana Friou, and Bernard Jeune.  “The oldest man ever? A case study of exceptional longevity.”  The Gerontologist 36(6): 783-788.

1996   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Mortality projections for Japan: A comparison of four methods.”  In:  Graziella Caselli and Alan Lopez (eds.), Health and Mortality among Elderly Populations, Oxford University Press, pp. 266-287.

1996   J.R. Wilmoth.  Book review.  [Vaïnö Kannisto, Development of Oldest-Old Mortality, 1950-1990: Evidence from 28 Developed Countries, Odense, Denmark: Odense University Press, 1994.]  Population Studies, 50(1): 143-144.

1996   J.R. Wilmoth and Hans Lundström.  “Extreme longevity in five countries:  Presentation of trends with special attention to issues of data quality.”  European Journal of Population 12(1): 63-93.

1995   Shiro Horiuchi and J.R. Wilmoth.  “The aging of mortality decline.”  Presented at the Annual Meetings of the Population Association of America (April) and the Gerontological Society of America (November).

1995   J.R. Wilmoth.  “The Earliest Centenarians: A statistical analysis.”  In:  Bernard Jeune and James W. Vaupel (eds.), Exceptional Longevity: From Prehistory to the Present, Odense, Denmark: Odense University Press, pp. 125-169.

1995   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Are mortality projections always more pessimistic when disaggregated by cause of death?”  Mathematical Population Studies 5(4): 293-319.

1995   J.R. Wilmoth.  Are mortality rates falling at extremely high ages?  An investigation based on a model proposed by Coale & Kisker.”  Population Studies 49(2): 281-295.

1995   J.R. Wilmoth and Patrick Ball.  “Arguments and action in the life of a social problem: A case study of ‘Overpopulation,’ 1946-1990.”  Social Problems 42(3): 318-343.

1994   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Population issues.  Perspectives: Past and present.”  The American Enterprise 5(5): 28-35+.

1994   J.R. Wilmoth.  Book review.  [David W. E. Smith, Human Longevity, New York: Oxford University Press, 1993.]  Population and Development Review 20(2): 467-469.

1993   J.R. Wilmoth.  Computational methods for fitting and extrapolating the Lee-Carter model of mortality change.”  Technical report, Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley.

1993   J.R. Wilmoth.  “The demographer's crystal ball: How long will we live during the 21st century?”  Bay Area Colloquium in Population, October.

1992   J.R. Wilmoth and Patrick Ball.  The population debate in American popular magazines, 1946-1990.”  Population and Development Review 18(4): 631-668.

1991   J.R. Wilmoth.  “AIDS mortality in the United States: Ranking AIDS among the leading causes of death.”  Population Association America, Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., March.

1990   J.R. Wilmoth.  Variation in vital rates by age, period, and cohort.”  In: Clifford C. Clogg (ed.), Sociological Methodology, Oxford: Basil Blackwell, Vol. 20, pp. 295-335.

1989   J.R. Wilmoth.  “Fitting three-way models to two-way arrays of demographic rates.”  Research Report No. 89-140, Ann Arbor: Population Studies Center, University of Michigan.

1989   J.R. Wilmoth, Jacques Vallin, and Graziella Caselli.  “Quand certaines générations ont une mortalité différente de celle que l'on pourrait attendre.”  Population 44(2):335-376.  (Reissued in 1990 as “When does a cohort's mortality differ from what we might expect?”, Population: English Selection 2: 93-126.)

1988   J.R. Wilmoth.  On the Statistical Analysis of Large Arrays of Demographic Rates.  Ph.D. dissertation.  Department Statistics and Office of Population Research, Princeton University.